About That Prediction

Photo Credit: APNews

I was reminded the other day (as I am on a regular basis) that my prediction about Trump winning 40 states last year turned out to be wrong. It may sound like sour grapes, but I’m gonna say it anyway: The case can be made that voter fraud is responsible, not only for Trump’s loss, but also for my prediction being wrong.

There are curious facts about the popular vote count–not just in critical swing states but in overwhelmingly blue states–that raise red flags: In New York, for instance, Trump got about 400,000 more votes this time around than he did in 2016. And in California he got roughly one and a half million more votes this time around than last.

And how did Biden do in those two states compared to Hillary? He got around 700,000 more votes than Hillary in New York and nearly two and a half million more votes than Hillary in California. In other words, if those two states’ vote count were to be scrutinized as closely as were the counts in, say, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, and Georgia, it’s plausible that the outcomes could have been close or even different.

In New Jersey (my last example), Trump beat his 2016 numbers by 300,000 votes; Biden beat Hillary by nearly half a million votes. In Connecticut last year, Trump garnered 40,000 more votes in round numbers than in 2016, and Biden beat Hillary’s total by more than 100,000 votes.

Nationwide, Joe Biden won 10 million more votes than Barack Obama won in 2008. This, in the year of COVID.

None of this passes the smell test, particularly given the famous poll taken weeks before the election in which more than half of voters said that they felt better off today than they did four years ago. At the very least, one wouldn’t expect record turnout, given a largely satisfied electorate and the scary prospect (for some people) of voting in person.

The fact is, more mail-in ballots were cast last year than ever before. And mail-in ballots, as many people warned prior to November 3rd, invite fraud. So does changing the rules of the game at the last minute, as several states did without the constitutional blessings of their legislatures (as an aside, it should be noted that the legislatures in some of those states are now in the process of passing laws that prevent last-minute election skullduggery from happening in the future. Congress, aware of this, is eagerly and angrily trying to pass a single federal law for elections to trump those nascent state laws).

Nevertheless, it is not caving in at this point to say it is time to move on. President Trump has, and he’ll be speaking at CPAC this week about, among other things, Joe Biden’s border policy. It will be curious to see if he mentions last year’s election, the next presidential election, or both.

Will Anderson
Will Anderson is the host of The Will Anderson Show. Listen to the latest episodes now by going to www.willandersonradio.com.

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